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Wednesday, October 15, 2025
WorldRecession fears prompt selling in global stock markets

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Recession fears prompt selling in global stock markets

Global stock markets fell around the world as concerns about the US-China trade war and the global economy prompted investors to dump shares.

The three main US stock markets closed 3% lower overnight, European stocks fell across the board, while Asian stock markets opened lower.

Weak data from Germany and China on Wednesday helped fuel a rush for safe assets like bonds and gold.

Bond market moves pointed to possible recessions in major economies.

The US central bank also came under renewed pressure from US President Donald Trump for not doing enough to support the world’s largest economy.

There are concerns that renewed attacks by Mr Trump on the Federal Reserve could erode investor confidence on its ability to make independent decisions.

Analyst Oliver Pursche, from financial services company Bruderman, said the global picture was precarious.

“What’s happening in Hong Kong, what’s happening with Brexit and the trade war, it’s all a mess,” the chief market strategist said. “Every central bank around the world is trying to prop up economies and every politician around the world is trying to destroy economies.”

News that Germany’s GDP contracted in the second quarter, and that China’s industrial growth in July hit a 17-year low, had already spooked markets in Europe. The FTSE 100 closed more than 1% lower, while in Germany and France the markets finished more than 2% lower.

Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 dropped some 2% in early trading on Thursday, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index opened 1.4% lower. Both later regained some ground. Disruptions related to pro-democracy protests have also weighed on the stock market in Hong Kong.

Another worry was that bond markets are flashing recession warnings.

The yield on two-year and 10-year Treasury bonds inverted for the first time since June 2007.

This means investor appetite for safety is such that they are willing to get lower returns for holding bonds for a longer period. Usually investors demand higher returns for holding bonds for longer due to the risks involved with parking your money away for a long time.

Historically, such bond movements have been a reliable indicator of possible recessions, and preceded the last global downturn more than 10 years ago.

The UK bond yield curve also inverted for the first time since 2008, while the yield gap between 10-year and 2-year German government bonds was at its tightest since the financial crisis.

Meanwhile, the CBOE volatility index – the so-called fear index – jumped higher, and spot gold prices rose.

Fed attack
On Wednesday, Mr Trump again attempted to deflect the market turmoil onto the US Federal Reserve and its interest rate policy, calling Fed chief Jerome Powell “clueless”.

In raising interest rates four times last year “the Federal Reserve acted far too quickly, and now is very, very late” in cutting borrowing costs, the president tweeted. “Too bad, so much to gain on the upside!”

Recent presidents have avoided commenting on Fed policy, in a sign of respect for the bank’s independence.

Source: bbc.com

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