It’s time to stop worrying about the war in Gaza spreading to other parts of the Middle East. It already happened.
We hope the situation can be controlled because it’s not as bad as a full-scale war.
The US and Britain are attacking the Houthis in Yemen because they want to protect trade routes and international trade. But some people think this is not fair.
They are connected to what is happening in Gaza and show that the crisis in the area is getting worse.
The Houthis said they would retaliate right away. Pro-Iranian groups in Iraq and Syria might attack American forces more often.
If the situation in the theater gets worse and US forces fight back, it will be difficult for America to stop a big war between Israel and Hezbollah, a group in Lebanon supported by Iran.
The Houthis are part of a group of allies and helpers that Iran has put together to protect itself from its enemies.
They are receiving more advanced weapons from Iran, but it’s better to consider them as friends instead of Iran’s representatives.
I have spent a lot of time with the Houthis in Yemen, and they are very independent people. They will enjoy fighting with the Americans. They want to join in this war. Both the Houthis and Iran are happy with what has been happening.
Iran has increased their abilities and the type of weapons that the Houthis have. This includes weapons like missiles and drones that have been used against Israel. Iran also gives these weapons to Russia to use against Ukraine. They have a lot of weapons.
The US, UK, and other countries in a group are sending ships to the Red Sea. It’s a big show of force. The danger from the Houthis is not so much about the damage they could cause, but more about the risk to global shipping.
In December, they took control of a ship and made it go to one of their docks. They have shot at ships and caused damage, but haven’t sunk any.
Businesses that ship goods through the narrow Bab al-Mandab Strait at the mouth of the Red Sea do not want to be attacked by enemy forces. Due to the dangers, the price of insurance will go up a lot. That’s why many companies are now deciding to go around the west coast of Africa and the Cape of Good Hope instead of using the Suez Canal. This canal is a quicker route between Asia and Europe, but it goes through the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandab, which is risky and costly.
The Houthis have taken over the capital city of Yemen, Sanaa, and large areas of the country, including the coast of the Red Sea, since 2014. In 2015, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates joined forces to try to overthrow a government in a war.
The Saudis said they got involved in Yemen’s civil war to help the original government that the rebellious Houthis had removed.
But a few days after it began, I talked to very important Saudis who said it was to prevent Iran from doing things in their area. Yemen is next to Saudi Arabia.
The Saudis bombed the Houthis for over a year until a ceasefire started. So, more bombings probably won’t scare them because they’re used to it.
I don’t think just one set of air strikes will do much. It will only make them feel confident that they are doing the right thing. They want to be seen as brave and strong against America and its friends who support Israel.
The Houthis are attacking in the Red Sea because they are angry about the war in Gaza and how Israel is stopping food and supplies from reaching the people who need them. They are also upset about civilians being killed.
They said that if the fighting in Gaza stopped and if supplies could go in, then they wouldn’t be a danger to a big shipping route.
Some people think that stopping the fighting in Gaza right away would be a better way to stop the attacks by the Houthi group, instead of using bombs. If Houthi attacks kept happening even after a peace agreement, some people believe that air strikes against them would have been more justified.
This US-UK action could make the situation with the Houthis last longer or get worse instead of making it better. In November last year when the Houthis started their first attacks on ships near Yemen, I talked to Mohammed Ali Al Houthi, a top member of their group. He was very stubborn back then, and I am sure the Houthis will continue to be stubborn now.
They will want to do more attacks to show that they are strong and won’t give up.
The US and UK bombed many different places. We don’t know exactly how strong the Houthis’ military is, but it’s unlikely that just one attack would have destroyed it completely.
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