Tag: Economic crisis

  • We must forge ahead, not despair in time of economic challenges – Mahama urges citizens

    We must forge ahead, not despair in time of economic challenges – Mahama urges citizens

    President John Dramani Mahama has called on Ghanaians to remain steadfast and committed to national progress despite the economic hardships facing the country.

    Delivering an address from the Jubilee House to mark the 68th Independence Day celebration, the president emphasized the need for resilience, drawing inspiration from the struggles and triumphs of Ghana’s founding leaders.

    “In recent years, poor choices have stunted our prospects and left us reeling from serious challenges. This stark reality, far from dampening our spirit, must spur us on to strive for rapid development,” he stated.

    “For if our forebears with far less did not permit their backs to be broken by repressive and exploitative colonial administration, representing an imperial power, how can we, their progenies armed with far more, despair in the face of these challenges?” he added.

    He stressed the importance of unity, perseverance, and a collective commitment to rebuilding Ghana, reaffirming his administration’s vision for the country’s future.

    “As I said before Parliament, we shall live the dreams of our forebears in our lifetime. This is not just a promise; it is a call to action,” he declared.

    Mahama’s remarks echoed the theme of this year’s Independence Day celebration, “Reflect, Review, and Reset,” which underscores the need for national introspection and a renewed sense of purpose.

    “Let this be our mission—to rise above fear, silence the voices of doubt, harness the strength within us, and create a future that is fair, prosperous, and inclusive,” he urged.

    His message comes at a time when Ghana continues to grapple with economic difficulties. The country’s macroeconomic crisis in 2022 has significantly impacted poverty levels, with an estimated 30.3% of Ghanaians living in poverty as of 2023.

    Ghana’s public debt has soared to GHS721 billion due to excessive borrowing, contributing to rising inflation and cedi depreciation. The government spent GHS6.1 billion on debt servicing in February 2025 alone and is projected to pay GHS180 billion next year, according to Felix Kwakye Ofosu, Minister-designate for Government Communications and spokesperson for the president.

    Economic analysts and stakeholders have urged the government to implement bold tax policy measures and reforms to improve fiscal stability and restore investor confidence.

    Government is set to provide the 2025 budget and economic statement to inform the citizens on the path ahead in ensuring economic recovery.

  • We will do everything to help you get out of this crisis – World Bank to Ghana

    We will do everything to help you get out of this crisis – World Bank to Ghana

    The World Bank has assured that the Bretton Woods institutions will continue to collaborate to assist developing countries like Ghana.

    A Senior Economist at the World Bank Group, David Elmaleh, projected an economic recovery for Ghana in the near future due to the support provided by the World Bank.

    “The reforms that we’ve supported will help to further advance the country and could attract the support of others. I think that the World Bank as an institution is aware that this crisis has been very difficult for Ghanaians. We are doing everything we can jointly with partners to help get out of this crisis,” he said.

    The World Bank is of the firm assertion that its recent disbursements to Ghana will catalyze additional donor funding and private capital investment for the country.

    Since January, the Bank has disbursed over $800 million to the Ghanaian government, with more expected before the end of the year.

    David Elmaleh is optimistic that the approval of these funds would encourage other donor partners to join in supporting Ghana’s economic recovery programme.

    “The fact that the World Bank approves this operation is in fact a recognition of the reform programmes enacted by the government and the fact that it’s starting to bear fruits”, he said.

    The World Bank in January this year approved a $300 million Development Policy Operation for Ghana.

    The First Resilient Recovery Development Policy Financing is a critical contribution by the Bank’s International Development Association (IDA) to help Ghana’s economic recovery and support the country’s resilient and inclusive growth.

    The World Bank’s International Development Association (IDA), established in 1960, helps the world’s poorest countries by providing grants and low to zero-interest loans for projects and programs that boost economic growth, reduce poverty, and improve poor people’s lives.

    Economic crisis

    Ghana is in debt distress and public debt is unsustainable. In response, the government has embarked on a comprehensive debt restructuring, a significant fiscal consolidation program, and the implementation of reforms to foster economic stability and resilience.

    The authorities’ stabilization efforts are being supported by an Extended Credit Facility (ECF) program of the IMF for approximately $3 billion.

    The crisis has taken a toll on the pace of economic growth – which decelerated to an estimated 2.9% in 2023 and is projected to remain weak in 2024. 

    Over the first months of 2024, the deceleration of inflation has stalled due to pass-through of the depreciation on prices of imported goods, on non-food inflation while food inflation marginally fell.

  • Inflation in Egypt hits 36.8% high in June — Report

    Inflation in Egypt hits 36.8% high in June — Report

    Official figures released on Monday revealed that annual inflation in Egypt reached a record high of 36.8 percent in June. This marks a significant milestone for the country as it grapples with a severe economic crisis.

    The previous record of 34.2 percent, set in July 2017, was also linked to a sharp currency devaluation associated with a bailout loan from the International Monetary Fund.

    The Egyptian pound has depreciated by half against the US dollar since early last year, leading to a surge in prices and further burdening families struggling to meet their needs in this import-dependent nation.

    The latest figures indicate an almost 37 percent increase compared to June of the previous year. Additionally, there was a two percent month-on-month rise from May of this year.

    While official data had previously shown some signs of easing inflation in recent months, the new figures highlight a staggering 64.9 percent increase in food and drink prices alone compared to June 2022, as announced by the state statistics agency CAPMAS.

    The economic crisis has been exacerbated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine last year, which disrupted crucial food imports. Even before this, the World Bank reported that 30 percent of Egyptians were living below the poverty line.

    The invasion’s impact on global markets prompted investors to withdraw billions of dollars from Cairo’s foreign reserves. While reserves have shown a slight increase this year, reaching $34.8 billion in March (up $500 million since February), they are still $7 billion lower than pre-war levels.

    Of the total reserves, approximately $28 billion consists of deposits from wealthy Gulf allies, whose plans to purchase Egyptian state assets have experienced delays in recent months.

    Egypt, the most populous country in the Arab world, has relied on bailouts from both Gulf allies and the IMF in recent years to address its economic challenges.

  • Benjamin Quashie urges youth to venture into entrepreneurship in economic crisis

    Benjamin Quashie urges youth to venture into entrepreneurship in economic crisis

    In light of Ghana’s ongoing economic crisis, the government has taken some steps to ensure that the local economy bounces back and continues to be robust.

    Speaking on this growing development, the Group Chairman of Allied Consortiums, Benjamin Kofi Quashie, has said for the Ghanaian economy to grow, the government has to encourage people, especially the youth to venture into entrepreneurship.

    He further said the creation of an enabling environment for businesses to operate will lead to their growth and expansion.

    This will subsequently lead to the creation of jobs for the teeming unemployed youth in the country.

    In an interview with GhanaWeb’s Ernestina Serwaa Asante on the sidelines of the AfCFTA Business Forum held in Capetown, South Africa, Mr Quashie said, “Once we are all concerned about growing our economy and making the economy dependent not only on government and enterprises, I think it is time we encourage businesses, entrepreneurship.”

    ” I have said that in the 21st century and our globe as it is now, there should be a paradigm shift from government always doing things to corporate individuals always doing things. Entrepreneurship, to me, is the way to go,” he pointed.

    It would be recalled that in October last year, Finance Minister, Ken Ofori-Atta, admonished young people in Ghana to create their own jobs.

    According to him, the government’s payroll is full and has no more room for employment in the public sector.

    “The future for you in regard to jobs is the most important thing for you at this stage, and we have gone through a period when most people look for a job from government or state institutions, but that payroll is full,” the finance minister said.

  • Approve the three new tax bills to revive the economy – Deputy Finance Minister to Parliament

    Approve the three new tax bills to revive the economy – Deputy Finance Minister to Parliament

    The deputy minister of finance, Ms. Abena Osei-Asare, has backed the new tax legislation that are being introduced to Parliament today, Thursday, March 23.

    She alleged that these bills are critical in order to help the government’s attempts to raise funds and to boost the faltering economy.

    Ms. Osei-Asare stated that the passing of these bills will also help the government provide aid to vulnerable individuals who have been severely impacted by Covid-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war. 

    “This is to support the economy to get back on track and implement the agenda of supporting the vulnerable who have been hit hard by Covid-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war,” she said in an interview on Citi FM. 

    “Inasmuch as we are raising revenue, we also need to look at the vulnerable who have been hit hard and these are the revenues that we believe that if we raise we can use some to support them.”

    She added that the bills are necessary for effective budget implementation and increasing Tax-to-GDP from less than 13% to the sub-Saharan average of 18%. 

    “As a country, we need to mobilise our own domestic revenue to pursue our own national development agenda and so these are some of the things we can do to raise revenue. As we speak if you compare the revenue we raise to our GDP we are still way below the West African target of below 16 to 18 per cent we are still doing 13 per cent and so there is more that we feel we can do.”

    Today, Parliament will vote on several bills related to income tax, excise duty, excise tax stamp, growth, and sustainability levy. 

    If approved, these bills will allow for the implementation of the $3 billion IMF Programme staff-level agreement. 

    The government has completed various measures to meet the criteria set by the IMF, such as tariff adjustments, publication of the Auditor-General’s report on Covid-19 spending, and onboarding of various funds on the Ghana integrated financial management information system. 

    The international and domestic bond markets are currently closed, which means the government must rely on Treasury Bills and concessional loans to finance its programmes. 

    She argued that it was therefore critical for Parliament to consider and approve fiscal measures to help the country recover from the current economic crisis.

  • Pensioners should be exempted from DDEP – CPP to govt

    Pensioners should be exempted from DDEP – CPP to govt

    The political affairs chairman of the Convention Peoples’ Party (CPP), Kwame Jantuah is urging the government to halt the present Domestic Debt Exchange Program (DDEP) and come up with alternate solutions to the ongoing economic crisis.

    According to them, it is insensitive for the government to burden investors, while government refuses to make any fiscal adjustments.

    Ghana’s total public debt stock shot up to GH¢575.7 billion at the end of November 2022, according to new data released by the Bank of Ghana.

    The new debt figure brings Ghana’s debt to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ratio to 93.5% from 75.9% in September 2022.

     Government is embarking on a debt restructuring programme in order to enable it access a $3 billion dollar package from the IMF to end the country’s ongoing economic woes. 

    Speaking to Citi News,the president must exempt the pensioners from the DDE.

    “All the political parties stand against it, even the NPP they are not talking about it, it’s only Ken Ofori-Atta and the President, Nana Akufo-Add talking about it. It seems everybody is scared. Those within their partycan’t even say much, why is it only one-sided? Why is the economic management team silent on the subject?

    “I would wish the President would say look, let’s exempt the pensioner bondholders from the DDEP and let’s find an alternative. Parliament should take over and find out which projects should be cut off or suspended,” Mr. Jantuah stated.

    The General Secretary of the National Democratic Party (NDP), Alhaji Frimpong noted that the government must be transparent about what the loans were used for.

    “What is happening in our national discourse over DDEP is as a result of what I would say the people being kept in the dark over a lot of issues in governance. Bondholders are agitating because the sender-messenger relationship is not properly done, people don’t know so much about what is going on,” Alhaji Frimpong indicated.

  • Ghana’s balance of payments deficit worsens to $3.64 billion

    Ghana’s balance of payments deficit worsens to $3.64 billion

    Ghana’s balance of payments further deteriorated to a deficit of $3.64 billion in December from a $3.4 billion deficit the previous quarter, central bank data showed on Saturday.

    The West African nation is facing an economic crisis that saw consumer inflation rise to 54.1% last month. The cedi currency has depreciated around 50% annually, and interest payments on government debt have swelled to between 70% and 100% of GDP.

    Recent balance of payments woes have been largely driven by a sharp reversal in capital flows, with Ghana’s capital account deficit having worsened to $2.18 billion in December from $1.64 billion in September.

    At the same time last year, Ghana had a capital account surplus of more than $3.3 billion.

    Ghana secured a $3 billion staff level bailout from the International Monetary Fund late last year, but must restructure its debts in order to obtain executive board approval.

    The country has requested to restructure its bilateral debt under the Common Framework platform supported by the Group of 20 major economies, and is currently negotiating terms for a domestic debt exchange programme with local bond holders.

    Source: Myjpyonline.com

  • Pakistan economic crisis: Government orders early closure of shopping malls and markets

    Pakistan economic crisis: Government orders early closure of shopping malls and markets

    As the nation is experiencing an economic crisis, the Pakistani government has ordered that markets and shopping centers close at early times each day.

    The South Asian country will save, according to defence minister Khawaja Asif, about 62 billion Pakistani rupees ($274.3 million; £228.9 million).

    The majority of Pakistan’s electricity is produced using imported fossil fuels.

    The world’s energy prices increased last year, further straining the nation’s already precarious finances.

    To pay for those energy imports the country needs foreign currency, especially US dollars.

    The Pakistan government had $11.7bn of foreign currencies available last month after its reserves fell by about 50% last year.

    That is only enough to cover around one month’s worth of all the country’s imports, most of which is energy.

    Mr Asif told reporters on Tuesday that shopping malls and markets would have to close by 20:30 local time and government departments had been ordered to reduce their electricity consumption by 30%.

    Meanwhile, the production of inefficient electric fans will be banned from the start of July.

    “The federal cabinet has immediately approved the Energy Conservation Plan’s enforcement,” the ruling Pakistan Muslim League-N (PML-N) party said on Twitter.

    The BBC is not responsible for the content of external sites.View original tweet on Twitter

    The nation of 220 million people has been struggling for years to stabilise its economy.

    In 2019 Pakistan secured a $6bn bailout from the International Monetary Fund, while in August last year it received a further $1.1bn.

    The government is also negotiating with the IMF over the delayed release of another $1.1bn of bailout money.

    Pakistan’s finances were also impacted last year by devastating floods that hit the country.

    In October the World Bank estimated that the flooding had caused $40bn of damage to the country.

  • Our self-inflicted massive economic crisis – Togbe Afede XIV writes

    Introduction

    About six weeks ago I was in New York, and for the first time in almost three decades, I struggled to sell the economic credentials of my country. When we were approaching the runway at Kotoka International Airport, at the end of my return journey, I looked outside from my window seat, and my joy about a safe return, as often, turned into sadness – the sharp contrast to what one sees when approaching the runway of the international airport of an average modern city was distressing. I asked myself, why?

    Any hope of accelerating our development is now dimmed by our current economic crisis, the result of a monumental failure of leadership. I saw it coming when after only three months in office, the government rushed to raise USD2.25billion from a single source. I thought the interest rate, 19.75%, was punitive, and the redemption premium was protective of the term (duration) of the bond. I saw tell-tale signs of recklessness and I advised a more critical look at proposals from the Ministry of Finance.

    Our economy is in a mess and the growing frustration and sense of helplessness among the youth is frightening. I am worried about the greed-inspired, divisive and acrimonious politics which is at the root of all this. What has become of all the love we shared as one people? How I wish we all are committed to building the Ghana that was the dream of our founding fathers.

    I know what suffering is like, so I’m worried for my “fellow Ghanaians”. That is why, once again, I want to share my thoughts on our development challenges. Much of what I have to say, I have said before and are common knowledge. But there are certain things that can never be overemphasized, and there is often the compelling need to repeat what may seem obvious.

    Our vulnerabilities

    The COVID-19 pandemic has been a great challenge, and so has been meningitis in northern Ghana, and Ebola in some parts of Africa. These and other tragedies have exposed the vulnerability of the black race and the imperative need for our leaders to think about what we can do to further the cause of development in Africa. Here in Ghana, we seem to have missed the opportunity to strengthen our peace and unity, which are vital for development.

    Our current economic challenges predate COVID and, of course, the ongoing war in Ukraine. We shall survive all of these, but we must remember always that survival is not the same as prosperity. The truth is that our people are suffering.

    Our resource endowments

    We are lucky, just like many other African countries, to be endowed with so much, the most important being our human resource – young and growing population. Our country, and the rest of the continent, have more than our fair share of the world’s natural resources.

    About 30% of all known mineral resources are found in Africa; we have 20% of the world’s landmass and 60% of uncultivated arable land; and we have 17% of the population. Yet we account for only about 3% of global output, GDP, and a similar share of world trade. According to the International Energy Agency, Africa has 60% of the world’s best solar resources, but only 1% of solar generation capacity.

    Ghana, with its fertile land, gold, diamond, bauxite, manganese, oil and gas, etc., is much better endowed than the average African country. So, the potential for development is great.

    The dream of our founding fathers and the 1992 constitution

    Development that provides the necessities of food, shelter, water, health, education, electricity, roads, jobs and incomes, thus good living standards, and ultimately, happiness, is the minimum that Ghanaians desire, and indeed, deserve.

    Not only did the founding fathers of our nation recognise this, but they also believed that we could work for the desired development. That was what inspired the demand for independence and the proclamation that “the black man is capable of managing his own affairs”.

    They also believed that we need a free, just, and democratic society in order to develop to our full potential, hence the choice of the motto, Freedom and Justice, to inspire commitment to these most basic requirements of democracy.

    The framers of the 1992 Constitution underscored the need for development by providing in Article 36 (1), under The Directive Principles of State Policy, that “The State shall take all necessary action to ensure that the national economy is managed in such a manner as to maximize the rate of economic development and to secure the maximum welfare, freedom and happiness of every person in Ghana and to provide adequate means of livelihood and suitable employment and public assistance to the needy”.

    The importance of individual initiative and the private sector are also recognised through the provision in Article 36 (2) (b) that “The State shall, in particular, take all necessary steps to establish a sound and healthy economy whose underlying principles shall include affording ample opportunity for individual initiative and creativity in economic activities and fostering an enabling environment for a pronounced role of the private sector in the economy”.

    Happiness is the essence of life, and it is important for unity, peace, stability and for continuing development. So, without guaranteeing the freedom of every individual to pursue happiness, no nation can develop to its full potential. Thus, peace, development, prosperity and happiness for all were in the minds of our founding fathers and the framers of the 1992 Constitution.

    The reality of the state of affairs

    The truth is that we have failed, woefully, to achieve the ideals of the 1992 Constitution, and the vision of our founding fathers – a nation that is able to provide, under indigenous leadership, the basic necessities to all its people and ensure their happiness. We have pretended for too long.

    I consider poverty in Ghana a paradox because of our enormous resource endowments – we are hungry in the midst of plenty; thirsty, while standing in the middle of the stream; and beaten by the rain, while holding our umbrellas down.

    Notwithstanding all our endowments, we are now a highly indebted, bankrupt, poor country. From 35% of GDP a few years ago, our debt-to-GDP ratio is projected to balloon to 104% by year-end, 2022. We are now faced with questions about debt sustainability and our ability to find the fiscal space to fund urgent and critical development needs. Now, the fears about Ghana defaulting on its debt repayment have effectively materialised with the announcement of a domestic Debt Exchange Programme. And we are making a mockery of ourselves talking “no haircuts” when that is exactly the effect of reduction in promised coupon payments.

    Holders of Ghana Government bonds have already seen the value of their investments plummet. Holders of domestic bonds have been worse. The real losses they suffered comprised of the discounts on the nominal values of their investments and the loss of value in dollar terms because of cedi depreciation.

    Even more alarming is the fact that we have piled on so much debt and yet we still lack basic socio-economic infrastructure – we could not fix our roads, provide the hospitals that our people need, or schools for our kids, with many still taking lessons under trees.

    Making matters worse are the galloping inflation, currency depreciation and the frightening unemployment rate. Inflation, which has been on the rise since December 2021, stood at 40.4% in October 2022. Over the same one-year period, the dollar went up (gained) 141%, from average GHS6 in October 2021 to GHS14.47, equivalent to 58.53% cedi depreciation.

    Even though denied, there have been signs of a nation in crisis everywhere you turned – unsustainable indebtedness and threats of default, deteriorating socio-economic infrastructure, turmoil in the markets, and growing joblessness among our youth. So much to do, yet no jobs! And now, business failures are threatening more job losses. We have failed miserably and have fallen far behind our neighbours.

    Consequences of failure

    The consequences of these failures have been mass suffering and growing frustration, leading Ghanaians to leave the country in droves in search for greener pastures, preferring xenophobic isolation abroad to the stifling conditions at home. The suicide rate has been rising, and so has been the crime rate, with dire implications for our peace and security.

    Over the last two years, hundreds of experienced medical professionals, trained at the expense of the state, have left Ghana for care-home jobs in the United Kingdom. By the way, the government itself is facilitating the exit of our nurses to countries that have relatively more.

    As I said in September 2021, during a courtesy call by the Speaker of Parliament, Ghana would have filed for bankruptcy if it were a company. This is effectively what we have done by going back to the IMF, and with the Debt Exchange Programme.

    How did we get here?

    Understanding our difficulties is the first step in the search for solutions. Our chaotic economic situation is the product of a toxic mix of, among others, our dishonesty; partisanship, cronyism and tribalism; greed-fuelled corruption; lack of proper planning, and the consequent episodic approach to economic management; and bad monetary policy that has indexed our future to the past. The situation is worsened by our attitudes and beliefs, and by a constitution that has outlived its usefulness.

    Respect for the truth, and the rule of law

    Whilst we project ourselves as very religious, we have little respect for the truth. People are not ashamed to invoke the name of God to back the lies they tell, destroying whatever is left that is good in our value system. The way people shamelessly defend wrongdoing is worrying.

    Today in Ghana, one is confused as to what the truth is, depending so much on who is talking. Some have become so self-centred that even an obviously wrong action is the best so long as they benefit from it.

    Such dishonesty has undermined the principles of fairness, equality before the law, and our democracy, and has adversely impacted our peace, unity, stability and development. Truth and accountability are the foundations of democracy and development. That is why the most developed countries are the ones where the law works.

    Even in managing our current crisis, we have not been served with the truth about the government’s intentions.

    Divisive, tribal, winner-takes-all politics

    Today, everything is seen through political lenses. The anti-nation, winner-takes-all brand of politics has politicised development, granting of tax and duty waivers, award of contracts, and appointments, even recruitment into the security services. It is shocking that even some aspirants to the Presidency shamelessly advocate for the exclusion of non-party members in the award of contracts and jobs, promising same when elected to power. So, the wrong people get the contracts, and the wrong people get the appointments. The result has been pervasive mediocrity.

    Whether it is about development projects, fighting corruption, dispensation of justice, fighting Galamsey or dealing with the consequences of COVID-19, parochial political objectives have taken precedence over national interest. This has been the major factor in our acrimonious and divisive politics.

    Indeed, some of our people have a false sense of ownership and entitlement and have become so accustomed to privilege that exclusivity is bad unless they are the beneficiaries. Discrimination has stifled hard work, initiative, and creativity, and has prevented the country from benefitting from all the skills and talents available.

    Our constitution advocates a system that is all-inclusive and provides opportunities for all. But we do not have a model or formula for the allocation of the nation’s resources, for example, to ensure equity. Politics has become an end, losing its development objective. Our leaders have shown more commitment to remaining in power than to the development of the country.

    Greed, corruption, transparency and accountability

    Ghana Integrity Initiative estimated that Ghana “loses close to USD3billion to corruption annually”. There is no doubt that our budget deficit would have been narrower, and we probably would not need to borrow from external sources, if honesty and prudence had guided our spending.

    The resort to single sourcing or limited tender in the award of contracts, under false certificates of urgency, has been harmful. It has allowed a few to deploy foul means to secure contracts for relatives and cronies at inflated prices that hurt everybody. While some exploit “urgency”, other officials hide under “confidentiality” to appropriate our limited resources into personal wealth.

    Lack of accountability has allowed a few people, with predatory and parasitic tendencies, some of whom come into leadership or public service with the objective of enriching themselves, to profit at the expense of the majority.

    Corruption has been stifling and disruptive. Some of our leaders suddenly become businessmen. They obstruct genuine entrepreneurs, frustrate them, or steal their ideas. Their methods stifle initiative and hurt the growth of the private sector. They deprive the country of development by syphoning money that could have built the roads, schools, and hospitals, and are the main reason why our economy is in such a deplorable state.

    But corruption is not limited to the public sector. It is pervasive and has undermined productivity in both the public and private sectors because corrupt officials do not achieve much on the job. They spend most of their time plotting to take from the pie, instead of increasing its size. I liken them to termites at the woodwork, eating at the very foundations of our development.

    Greed and the fight for control of resources has bred so much partisanship that political opponents are seen as enemies, even when the public posture is different. Our educated elite have replaced the colonialists in a more painful new scramble for our resources, raping our country mercilessly

    As someone wrote in a comment on a news article, “Corruption was not in the news in Gold Coast, but corruption has flooded the news in independent Ghana”. We have succeeded in making a once clean Ghana another word for corruption”.

    Too many transactions and projects have raised eyebrows recently. These include the payment of judgement debts, the proposed Agyapa deal, the failed PDS transaction, the National Cathedral, and the sale of state lands.

    Fiscal policy, planning, priorities and waste

    The management of our economy has been poor. We have over the years talked about the structural defects in our economy, with regards to foreign domination, over-reliance on imports and our inability to add value to our exports. We have not been able to implement any viable strategies to correct these defects.

    And, quite obviously, not a lot of thought or planning appear to have gone into some of the choices we made. We all were witnesses to the rushed introduction of the Single Spine Salary Structure and the Free SHS Programme and the sudden and reckless cancellation of road tolls without adequate planning. Many other programmes have been decided without any idea where the required resources would come from. And very soon, our small country will be boasting three international airports while our internal road network is very poor.

    We also set targets without detailed roadmaps defining required actions, their timing, and their effects as was the case with the E-levy, which failed to bring in the expected revenues. All these, combined with corruption, made budget shortfalls and excessive borrowing inevitable.

    We are poor, earn so little, but spend the way even the most affluent countries would not on things which are not necessary. When Houphet Boigny built the 18,000 capacity Basilica of Our Lady of Peace, in Yamousokro in 1990, 32 years ago, Ghanaians mocked at him. Little did we know that decades later, we will be attempting to outdo him with our own National Cathedral.

    The large increase in the number of ministries and appointees in 2017 was, invariably a waste, because it did not make any impact, let alone produce the promised outcomes. Political motivations dictated reckless increases in the size of our parliament, with little or no thought about the extra costs – salaries, multiple ex-gratia payments, Common Fund allocations, etc., etc.

    Payment to directors and employees of non-existent Keta Port, monies lost in the failed award of ECG to PDS, abandoned projects, sale of government vehicles and their replacement after four years or less, and expenditure on new voters registration, have been wasteful.

    Similarly wasteful have been payment of end-of-service benefits and all manner of allowances and perks to some state employees, huge convoys, unnecessary expensive travel for mostly unproductive seminars and conferences (e.g., the reported 322 people who attended the recent UN Climate Change Conference in Egypt).

    By the way, I am not sure whether, and how, our parliamentarians account for the various monies they are given for development interventions in their constituencies. Meanwhile, NABCO trainees are fasting and praying over unpaid allowances.

    Our SOEs are poorly supervised. That is why they build edifices they do not need, spend almost all the revenues they generate, and pay very little or no dividends to the state. That is why their executives seize every opportunity to travel abroad, most of the time needlessly. And that is why they have policies that provide for the payment to redundant workers as much as four (4) months’ salary for every year they have worked, even when their enterprises provide Tier 3 pension contributions.

    The so-called banking sector clean-up, involving the closure of some banks, was a reckless unplanned move that imposed unnecessary cost on the state. We are yet to see the cost-benefit analysis of that exercise. Meanwhile, we are paying the price for all the recklessness.

    Monetary policy failure

    Our monetary policy is one segment of economic policy that has escaped scrutiny over the years. Not since 2003 when I complained about monetary policy in this country has there been any open debate about how monetary policy has been conducted.

    The failure of monetary policy to achieve its objectives and targets has been a key part of our problems. The arguments I made in 2003, 19 years ago, are still valid today. BOG has indexed its policy rate to past inflation, a self-fulfilling prophesy, with predictable adverse consequences for inflation and the value of the cedi.

    By this dogmatic interest rate policy, BOG tried to keep its policy rate above year-on-year inflation. In their article responding to my concerns in December 2021, BOG argued that “The simple theory underpinning finance suggests that investors will always have to be compensated for inflation and that investors always factor in real interest rates in making decisions. With an inflation rate of 11 percent, the central bank’s policy rate of 13.5 percent implies a real interest rate of 2.5 percent”. I am surprised that today they are happy to fix their policy rate at 27%, below the year-on-year inflation rate of 40.4%, when they have always argued for the opposite.

    It is surprising that the economists at BOG still do not understand that the year-on-year inflation is a historical concept, and that, it is not past price changes that interest rates must seek to compensate for. The relevant inflation rate for fixing the policy rate, in my view, should be expected inflation, adjusted for seasonality, etc. Expected inflation is what astute investors are interested in, much the same way they look at forward price-earnings (P/E) ratios as opposed to trailing P/E ratios in evaluating shares for investment purposes.

    The Fisher effect, named after Irving Fisher, defines the link between inflation, nominal interest rate and real interest rate, and explains the tendency for interest rates to rise when expected inflation is high and fall when expected inflation is low. Thus, a fall in expected inflation, if the expected real interest rate is unchanged, should cause an equal fall in the nominal interest rate.

    It is sad that our economists have failed to realise the fallacy in comparing the current interest rate to past year-on-year inflation in determining the real interest rate. BOG’s fixation of its policy rate based on this statistic, with no interest in recent month-on-month changes, has been a self-fulfilling prophesy that has only succeeded in importing past inflation into the future, plunged us into a vicious circle, and made Ghana a “high inflation – high interest rate” environment, one of the worst on the continent.

    It is also wrong for BOG to persist in trying to tame inflation in Ghana using high interest rates as could be successfully done in a rich country like the UK. The minimum wage in the UK is GBP9.50 an hour or GBP76 for an 8-hour workday. In Ghana, the minimum wage is GHS14.88 per day, less than GBP1. The average cost of a litre of petrol is GBP1.69 in the UK, 2.2% of the daily minimum wage. In Ghana, the average cost of petrol is GHS16.5, 122% of the daily minimum wage.

    The relativities are similar with regards to other necessities of life. So, unlike in the UK, increasing interest rates will only increase cost of living in Ghana, but will not encourage the average Ghanaian, who can hardly make ends meet, to spend less and save more.

    These high interest rates made it difficult for businesses to borrow to invest in the real sectors of the economy to achieve the value-addition we crave. It also perpetuated our import dependence, while making it difficult for local entrepreneurs to borrow, invest and increase local ownership of the economy. Thus, BOG officials have inadvertently frustrated the restructuring of the economy, which they themselves have identified as the solution to our balance of payments deficit and currency depreciation problems.

    It is difficult to see how policy rate increases can fight cost-pushed inflation resulting from food or crude oil price increases or increased taxes on petroleum products. Sadly, even at the height of the COVID-19 pandemic, when income levels had fallen world-wide, and stimulus packages were being implemented everywhere to boost economic activity, BOG still ensured that we suffer under strangulating high interest rates.

    While BOG’s monetary policy over the years has succeeded in maintaining a growth-stifling “high inflation – high interest rate” environment, it has also created the most profitable banking sector in Africa, if not the world, all with disastrous consequences for the cedi.

    The size of UK’s economy, as reflected by its GDP, was about USD2.7trillion in 2019, almost 40 times Ghana’s GDP, USD72billion. But the Bank of England (BOE) made a profit of GBP57million (USD76million) in 2020/21, down from GBP72million (USD96million) in 2019/20. BOG, on the other hand, made a profit of GHS1.57billion (USD270million) in 2020, down from GHS1.8billion (USD310million) in 2019. Thus, BOG made almost 4 times as much profit as BOE. Incredible!

    Over the years, our commercial banks have made enormous profits while the real sectors, including manufacturing, have been in trouble.

    BOG claimed that “The banking industry’s performance has defied the general economic downturn with strong growth across key metrics including total assets and deposits, as well as sustained improvement in profitability within the industry during the first half of 2022.”

    And that, “The sector’s total assets increased by 22.8 percent to GHS200billion at end of the period, representing a 17.2 percent growth over the previous year. The domestic component of total assets recorded a higher growth rate of 23.5 percent in June 2022 compared to a growth of 18 percent in June 2021”.

    They added further that “…the higher growth in the industry’s assets by mid-year was primarily on the back of an upsurge in deposits and borrowings during the review period”.

    But the undeniable truth is that all these “growths” were fuelled by high interest rates, and represent a transfer of assets from government and the real sectors to the banking sector. BOG and the commercial banks’ huge parasitic profits put a lot of stress not only on the private sector, but on the public sector as well. They impose a huge burden on those outside the banking sector and frustrate the realisation of the needed structural change.

    The use of the wrong inflation variable accounts for the failure of BOG’s inflation targeting policy. When in December 2021 BOE increased its prime rate from 0.1% to 0.25%, to meet a 2% inflation target, BOG, on the other hand, increased its policy rate from 13.5% to 14.5%, while targeting an inflation of 8%. BOG’s policy rate was more related to the reported year-on-year (past) inflation of 12.2% instead of its target (expectation) of 8%. BOG sought to keep their policy rate above year-on-year inflation to maintain a “positive real interest rate” based on their awkward understanding of real interest rate.

    It is worth noting that Zambia’s November 2021 inflation was 19.3% but Central Bank of Zambia’s prime rate was as low as 9% in December 2021. Today, while Ghana’s inflation in October 2022 stood at 40.88%, Zambia recorded 9.7% inflation in October 2022.

    Our high inflation and interest rate statistics naturally feed into external market perception of our outlook. We cannot through our policy rate give an impression of a high inflation risk outlook and expect the external financial markets to think differently. So, BOG’s approach has been costly for us in the international financial markets too.

    Speaking during a press briefing on Friday, October 7, 2022, in Washington, DC, on the 2022 edition of the Babacar Ndiaye Lecture, Dr Hippolyte Fofack, Chief Economist and Director of Research at Afreximbank, elaborated on the importance of this year’s theme, “The Developing World in a Turbulent Global Financial Architecture”:

    Africa’s total external debt is about $726 billion. That makes it less than a third of Italy’s debt estimated at about US$2.8 trillion. And expressed as a percentage of GDP, Africa’s total external debt is 27%, compared to 130% in Europe. Yet African countries are more at a risk of debt distress than their European counterparts largely as a result of large spreads and default-driven borrowing rates assigned to African sovereign and corporate entities.”

    Thus, BOG cannot justify the astronomically high monetary policy rates that have burdened our economy over the past 20-plus years. It has not only increased money supply over the years, fuelling price increases, but has also undermined the cedi. Contrary to their claims, we cannot use “higher interest rates to maintain exchange rate stability”, and more so when they have failed to protect the cedi as the only legal tender in Ghana. High interest rates have not and will not help us “maintain exchange rate stability”. Parity laws tell us the opposite.

    On November 1, 2007, GHS1 was equivalent to USD1. GHS1 invested in Ghana government’s 91-day treasury bill on that day and rolled over for 15 years would grow to about GHS12 on

    October 31, 2022. Coincidentally, the price of USD1 on October 31, 2022 was about GHS13! Obviously, this huge return on the cedi has been inflationary, and also aided cedi depreciation.

    As I pointed out, inflation was 40.4% in October 2022. Along with it, the dollar went up 141%, from average GHS6 in October 2021 to GHS14.47, implying cedi depreciation of 58.53%.

    Most importantly, it must be realised that the high monetary policy rates will not help efforts to remove the “structural bottlenecks” that BOG often alludes to. On the contrary, they have been the stumbling block to creating an enabling financial market where businesses can source debt capital for growth and expansion. They have made the cost of capital excessive, aggravated the supply problems in the economy and increased our import-dependence.

    Today, we are locked in the same, growth-stifling, demand-side approach to the inflation problem, and find ourselves in a vicious circle of high inflation and high interest rates.

    The mere fact that after over 100 years of producing cocoa, we still go abroad to borrow money to finance its purchase is ample evidence of how our banking system has failed the real sectors of our economy. Bank of Ghana has been at the centre of this problem.

    Private sector and crony capitalism

    We have failed to give genuine support to private initiative and create conditions for all to participate in the development process to reduce the burden on government, reduce the national debt and minimise public sector corruption.

    The few initiatives in support of the private sector have been politicised. Tax waivers, duty exemptions and other incentives have become a privilege reserved for loyal party supporters instead of being targeted at sectors of the economy that need support to become globally competitive.

    Great ideas and initiatives have not been supported merely because of selfish or political reasons. Crony capitalism has spelt doom for the genuine entrepreneurs, ensuring the happiness of a few, and discontent, misery and suffering of the majority.

    retentious, poorly planned initiatives like NABCO have been the preferred short-term political reaction to the unemployment problem. But these, we all know, do not create real jobs, and thus cannot provide sustainable solutions to the youth unemployment problem.

    Weak institutions

    Many of the above issues and challenges are the result of the virtual bastardisation of many of our institutions. Parliament, for example, has been very ineffective, while the judiciary has been perceived to be politicised, leading to mistrust. These have contributed to the creation of a chaotic and toxic political environment.

    Many have lost faith in the courts, and their ability to ensure justice when rights are trampled upon. And when at the same time Parliament has been weak and toothless, freedom and justice became imperilled, making a complete mockery of our democracy.

    Many of our other institutions have also failed us because they have been weakened by the loss of their independence, with adverse consequences for the nation’s development. The Council of State, Electoral Commission, National Media Commission, Public Services Commission, Commission on Human Rights and Administrative Justice, National Commission on Civic Education, Lands Commission and even the military, the police service, and chieftaincy have all become politicised.

    The following words of Nobel Prize laureate, Rigoberta Menchú, are quite instructive: “Without strong watchdog institutions, impunity becomes the very foundation upon which systems of corruption are built. And if impunity is not demolished, all efforts to bring an end to corruption are in vain”.

    The 1992 Constitution and the President’s powers

    Our constitution has outlived its usefulness, is responsible for the weakness of our institutions, and has been a major bottleneck to our development. Many of its provisions appear to belong to a different era or look like inspired by considerations than democratic or development objectives.

    The excessive powers of the President, for example, and the indemnity clause that ensures that he cannot be held to account, have encouraged reckless abuse of power, and are at the root of corruption in our country.

    Our President appoints people to thousands of positions and can dismiss them at will, virtually. It is the main reason why many of our institutions are politicised and weak.

    Galamsey

    There is no doubt in my mind that our resort to prayers and deities, instead of the law, to stop the massive destruction of our environment by unregulated small-scale miners has presented a negative outlook for our country, generally, and its economy, in particular.

    At a time when environmental sustainability and issues about climate change have dominated discussions at almost every level of global policy dialogue, it is shocking that we can remain, apathetic bystanders, while a few people destroy our agricultural land and water bodies. It is hard to imagine any other country which will tolerate that level of environmental degradation.

    It was not only a bad environmental practice, but laughable and wasteful to burn a few excavators, which probably cost foreign exchange to bring in, as a way of showing commitment to fighting Galamsey.

    Attitudes, beliefs and value system

    Our attitudes, beliefs and value system have been a major part of the problem. They have allowed under-development, poverty, and dependency to become the lot of our people, as is the case with virtually very black nation, from Haiti, the poorest country in the Western Hemisphere, to the Horn of Africa.

    We seem to have replaced bad traditional beliefs with equally bad, if not worse religious beliefs. A study showed that the richest 25 countries are generally non-believers, while the poorest 20 countries, mostly in Africa, are great believers.

    Many of our new pastors predict only bad news and preach mostly about the devil, bad spirits and evildoers. Every misfortune is the work of the devil, and so people must seek help from the pastor. These beliefs and practices stifle initiative and discourage hard work. They make most of our people lose trust in their own ability to effect the desired changes in their lives.

    Also, we have developed a get-rich-quick attitude that does not question the source of people’s wealth and does not recognise that success must be a product of honesty and hard work. It has allowed us to become so tolerant of corruption as to virtually accept it as “business”.

    Our attitudes and beliefs are also the reason why we sit aloof and allow a few people to toil with our lives and disrespect us. We watch our leaders shower praises on themselves while celebrating mediocrity.

    Threats to peace, stability and unity

    All the above are lingering threats to our peace, stability and unity. They have hurt our outlook and our ability to realise our full potential, and partly explain why after enjoying more than 30 years of relative peace in a turbulent West African subregion, we have little dividend to show.

    Now our current economic crisis is breeding more distrust and suspicion among our people, because of perceptions of unfairness and unequal access to opportunity, much of it rooted in politics, and creating a chaotic socio-politico-economic environment. These have further negative implications for our peace, stability, unity, and development.

    It is true that “money does not like noise”. But we must also appreciate that cronyism, corruption, acrimonious politics, and lawlessness also create disorderliness that deters investors.

    We can turn it around

    As I have always said, poverty is not God’s desire for man. We can turn our fortunes around and make a paradise out of our small country, so we would enjoy sustainable peace, unity and equitable development, maximise the welfare and happiness of every Ghanaian, and make it unnecessary for the youth to embark on hazardous journeys across deserts and seas in search of greener pastures.

    The resources needed are right here. We can do it with a bold compelling vison backed by detailed planning, hard work, honesty, and genuine support for the private sector.

    It would require leadership that recognises the need and encourages us to work together and do things differently. More of the same approach will not produce different results. So, we need to reflect on the way we have done things in the past, and try to mobilise and utilise better, the resources that we have.

    It would require leadership that respects the truth, eschews divisiveness, and accepts that we have done enough politics, and that it is time we focus on development and the things that bind us together, put the interest of the nation ahead of personal and party interests, and unite to confront our development challenges as one people with a common destiny.

    Leadership must encourage us to do away with this greed-inspired and violence-backed democratic dispensation that often denies people free choice. As former President, General Acheampong said, “I can go today and the SMC Government can go, but the problems of the nation will still remain, unless the people as a whole change from their greed, avarice and other social evils that afflict us”.

    We must recognise that corruption retards development, so we all must commit to fighting it. Delia Ferreira, Chair of Transparency International, sums it up well: “People’s indifference is the best breeding ground for corruption to grow”.

    Still, it would require leadership that insists on transparency and accountability in our institutions. We have gotten to a point where nothing should be confidential, including our national security spending, which is alleged to be an avenue for syphoning state funds. I would rather we go through rigorous processes and get value for money in all our transactions. I agree with Angel Gurría, Secretary General, OECD, that, “Integrity, transparency and the fight against corruption have to be part of the culture. They must be taught as fundamental values”.

    We also need a development-driven fiscal policy, backed by proactive and complimentary growth-inspiring monetary policy, and accept that slogans do not produce development.

    Leadership must lead a review of our constitution to align it with our aspirations. The resulting amendments should, among others, reduce the powers of the President, modify the indemnity clauses, put caps on the number of ministries, constituencies, etc., and strengthen our institutions so they can serve their various purposes.

    One cannot over-emphasise the need for trustworthy, visionary, honest, humble, tolerant and selfless leadership that truly believes in democracy, is committed to the best interests of the people, and desires to leave a genuine legacy.

    However, it is fair to say that the fate of our democracy, and thus, our development rests, ultimately, on us, the people. Hence the need for us to change our attitudes, eschew apathy and work hard.

    But in the short term, we must get our response to the current debt crisis right. The unilateral domestic debt exchange announced is a wrong response that will destroy our credibility as a country, undermine the progress we have made in the development of our capital market, especially the debt market, and set us back several years.

    As an alternative, government could decide the following quickly, and make projections of revenue and expenditure accordingly to form the basis of a new strategy in debt negotiations:

    1. Implementation of the most drastic measures necessary to rein in corruption 2. Increase of taxes on high income earners, companies, and property
    2. Introduction of taxes on income from tax-exempt government domestic bill and bond investments
    3. Immediate re-introduction of road tolls at much higher rates than they were in the past 5. Suspension of non-essential new capital projects
    4. Suspension of funding of non-essential and unproductive projects like the National Cathedral 7. Implementation of other expenditure reduction measures to affect, among others, number of

    political appointments, allowances paid to public sector employees, foreign scholarships, foreign travel, vehicle procurement, and end of service benefits.

    1. Freezing of non-essential capital expenditure by major state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and enhancement of their dividend payments to government
    2. Support of private sector investment in infrastructural projects, and 10. Sale of non-strategic state assets.

    The dangers we faced were evident, and these measures could have been implemented at least a year ago if we had not been in denial. All said, our current situation is the product of our past actions and inactions, including our apathetic attitude to corruption over the years. Our future will reflect the actions we take at this critical time in our history. Fighting poverty requires that we all join in fighting every obstacle to our prosperity.

    Source: Graphiconline

    DISCLAIMER: Independentghana.com will not be liable for any inaccuracies contained in this article. The views expressed in the article are solely those of the author’s, and do not reflect those of The Independent Ghana

     

  • ‘The hardship is real’ for ordinary Ghanaians – Mahama rallies support for government

    John Dramani Mahama has bemoaned the difficulties faced by typical Ghanaians as a result of the country’s economic crisis.

    Thus, the former president has urged all concerned parties to work together to help the government find a solution to the situation.

    He is confident that Ghana wouldn’t be in its current economic predicament if the president had access to the kind of sound advice that he used to receive.

    At a discussion with some clergy at his Cantonments office, Mahama declared that there was no use in taking political advantage of the difficulties the administration was experiencing.

    “All the political parties are in competition for leadership and so you cannot be happy that one party’s administration is going through economic difficulty and you stand and gloat over it.

    “I mean we must contribute what we can to ensure that they turn it around…. Better to work together to turn things around. Especially for the ordinary people of this country, the hardship is real and when you go to the grassroots you find that people really have a difficulty,” he stressed.

    An economy in distress

    The economy is facing major headwinds that have been characterized by galloping inflation, consistent depreciation of the cedi and general high cost of living and of doing business.

    The government is hoping to reach a deal with the International Monetary Fund, IMF, for an economic support programme aimed at shoring up the economy and easing the burden on ordinary Ghanaians.

    President Akufo-Addo and his government have come under heavy scrutiny for failing to address the current economic challenges in the country.

    The prices of goods and services have been continuously rising all year round, with inflation currently at over 40 per cent.

    The Ghana cedi has been ranked the worst currency in the world among 148 currencies tracked by Bloomberg, overtaking Sri Lanka’s rupee, having depreciated by nearly 50 per cent so far in 2022.

  • Traders admit to overpricing their products amidst hikes

    Some traders at the Dome Market in Accra have admitted to overpricing their products in order to stay in business in the wake of the current economic crisis.

    They disclosed this during an interaction with the Independent Ghana’s Jessie Ola-Morris, who paid a visit to the market on November 20, 2022.

    The visit followed speculation that some traders are taking advantage of the economic crisis to price their products at exorbitant rates in order to make more profit.

    Ghana’s economic woes continue to worsen unabated, despite various measures taken by the government to curb inflation and mitigate the hardships. Inflation remains high, and the prices of fuel and other essential commodities continue to surge.

    A (25-litre) gallon of vegetable oil, which was selling for GHC360 at the beginning of the year, was increased to GHC600 in October and is now going for GHC1,000 and over. A bag of 5kg rice which was previously sold at GHC40 at the beginning of the year is now GHC105 and above.

    Latest statistics from the Ghana Statistical Service indicate that the national Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) for the country reached a startling 40.4 percent rate in October 2022.

    The hikes in fuel prices and the poor performance of the cedi against major currencies are the main contributing factors to the hikes in food prices.

    As an import-driven economy that largely relies on international currency such as the U.S dollar ($), demand for such currencies has peaked in recent times, weakening the local currency (i.e the Ghana Cedi). The dollar, which used to sell at GHC5.87 at the beginning of the year, is now selling at GHC113.11 (interbank rate) and GHC114.85 at the forex bureau.

    Amidst the hardships, traders have been accused of compounding the woes of the ordinary Ghanaian by overpricing their products in order to make enormous profits.

    During a visit to Dome Market, some traders refuted the claim, however, others also conceded to overpricing their products in order to stay in business.

    A baby diaper retailer, Auntie Yaa, who asserted that traders are not to blame for the development, explained factors that largely affect the pricing of products.

    She used herself as an example to demonstrate how the cost of transportation heavily influences her pricing strategy.

    Auntie Yaa mentioned that she buys a pack of diapers at GHC100 from the wholesale shop and slaps an amount of GHC10 on each pack to cover the operational cost, which includes the cost of transport and other expenses involved in getting the products to their final destination (i.e the Dome Market).

    “[After] I deduct these expenses from the GHC10 I’m able to make a profit of GHC5 from each pack, then I’m okay,” she said.

    She was however baffled over the fact that the prices of the products are not stable on the market: “You make a purchase today and the next day you go back to the market to buy the same product and the price has shot up drastically, that disturbs us a lot,” she lamented.

    Her other concern was with how some traders hoard their products and sell them later at exorbitant prices when demand is high. She, thus, called on the government to implement measures to curb such activities.

    Another trader, Mary Oforiwaa, did not mince words about the fact that some unscrupulous traders are taking advantage of the free market to overprice their products.

    “Undoubtedly, times are hard and when we lament we are told Ghana is not the only country facing an economic crisis but I think we traders are part of the problem. We are doing what we like. Even with transportation that is regulated by GPRTU, every driver has his (/her) own fare they charge, so the government is not solely to blame for the hardships. And with traders, we also price our products how we like,” she said.

    Proposing a solution, she called on the government to implement a strategy adopted by the Rawlings regime. Recall that during the Rawlings administration some traders hoarded their products with the intention of selling them later at higher prices when the demand was high. However, the former President found this out, went for the products and conducted a clearance sale on them.

    Going down memory lane to her youthful days, she mentioned that “growing up I witnessed the Rawlings regime and during that time, if you hoard your products with the intention of selling them later at an outrageous rate, Rawlings comes for the goods and sells them cheaply – ‘Donkomi’ (to wit clearance sale) – but this government has been dormant in this regard and as a result, everyone is doing what they like,” she said.

    “But I believe things will go according to how it’s supposed to be when the government adopts the late former president’s strategy,” she said.

    “There are traders who also have to consult other traders before they issue prices for their goods, and all these are not helping,” she lamented.

    Kwabena Asiedu Nketiah, the third trader who spoke to the Independent Ghana, acknowledged that he prices his products at exorbitant rates, however, he attributed the development to the cedi-dollar depreciating rate and gross economic mismanagement by the government.

    “Looking at the rate at which prices of products are increasing these days it’s above normal but then the dollar-cedi rate affects the prices. We import the products with dollars, so when the cedi falls against the dollar, the prices of our products also go up,” he added.

    Additionally, he explained that overpricing the products was the only way to stay in business. According to him, traders risk losing their capital if they do not toe this line.

    “With business, it is wrong to wait for your old goods to finish, go for another one before you increase the price of your products. You’ll run at a huge loss if you do that. The moment you hear of a price increment, you instantly have to adjust your prices to the new rate otherwise, you’ll collapse your business,” he said.

    Ghana operates a free market. A free market is one where voluntary exchange and the laws of supply and demand provide the sole basis for the economic system, without government intervention. A key feature of free markets is the absence of coerced (forced) transactions or conditions on transactions. Consequently, traders largely decide how their products are priced.

    We (the Independent Ghana) discovered that some traders are taking advantage of Ghana’s liberal market to overprice their products.

    To curtail this, Martha Ofosuhemaa, another trader, suggested that the government should be keen on consulting manufacturers and market women regarding regulating the prices of products on the market.

    She believes the solution to addressing the exorbitant rates at which goods are priced largely lies with manufacturers and market women.

    If the prices of every product are embossed on its packaging, this will significantly help in regulating them to make them affordable, she noted.

    “Take coke for instance, if the manufacturer writes on the label that the small bottle should be sold at GHC 3.50 pesewas, we traders will go for it and know that that is how we are supposed to sell it so we will,” she said.

    “Government should also speak to the market women. I believe if such consultations and negotiations are held regularly, the prices of products on the market will drastically reduce,” she added.

    Overpricing in one sector of the economy affects all other sectors since they are interrelated. Astronomical hikes in fuel prices influence transport fares, which in turn affect the prices of products on the market. This comes back to bite the ordinary Ghanaian since it escalates the cost of living. Consequently, Ghanaians continue to lament over the hardships and have on various occasions appealed to the government to roll out measures to check these developments on the market.

    Source: The Independent Ghana| Jessie Ola-Morris

  • Herbal medicine can earn Ghana GH¢30 billion in revenue – Practitioners

    Practitioners of traditional medicine have suggested that the government focuses its efforts on their activities since it may bring in billions of cedis to help the nation deal with the current economic crisis.

    If the government refocuses its attention on the area, the herbal medicine business, they claim, can bring Ghana more than 30 billion cedis in revenue.

    The association’s recently elected president, Prof. Samuel Ato Duncan, refers to the program as the “green gold agenda.”

    Prof. Duncan urged the government to pay close attention to the industry in order to enjoy the benefits during a recent ceremony to swear in new members of the Ghana Federation of Traditional Medicine Practitioners.

    ‘We will pursue the green gold agenda. If gold and cocoa have failed in turning the economic fortunes of the country, then we must turn to green gold. When I say green gold, what I mean is, we have traditional medicine that we can package properly and sell for deprived exchange to benefit our country,” he said on November 23.

    “I will help find solutions to the challenges confronting the country. This is practical, not just talking. We are ready to help redeem the crisis, Ghana is facing,” Prof. Samuel Ato Duncan added.

    The President of the Ghana federation of traditional medicine practitioners noted that herbal medicines in Ghana are being rebranded to ensure packaging and quality of the products meet global standards.

  • Economic crisis: US to provide $80.5 million in aid to Lebanon

    The United States announced on Wednesday that it will provide $80.5 million in aid to Lebanon for food assistance and solar-powered water pumping stations.

    Samantha Power, USAID Administrator, made the announcement during a visit to Lebanon ahead of a trip to Egypt for the United Nations Climate Conference (COP27).

    During his visit, Power plans to meet with Lebanese political leaders to press for a resolution to the country’s political vacuum and for leaders to implement a series of political and economic reforms mandated by the International Monetary Fund in order to secure a $3 billion aid package.

    The visit comes at a time when Lebanon is experiencing its worst economic and financial crisis in modern history.

    Power declined to say, however, whether any U.S. assistance would be contingent on Lebanon taking these measures.

    “We are not focused on what happens if those reforms don’t happen. The reforms have to happen,” she told The Associated Press.

    The prospect of an IMF deal “should be enough to end the infighting and bickering and do what is needed for the sake of the country,” Power said.

    USAID has provided about $260 million to Lebanon in 2022 to date. On Wednesday, Power announced an additional $72 million for food assistance to some 650,000 people over five months as part of a $2 billion global food security initiative.

    Lebanon, which relies heavily on imported food and has historically imported the majority of its wheat from Ukraine and Russia, has faced increased food security anxieties in the wake of the Russian war in Ukraine.

    Power also announced $8.5 million to fund 22 new solar-powered pumping stations. Lebanon has been dealing with a crippling electricity crisis that has also led to water shortages due to lack of power at pumping stations.

    The shortages in public water supply are fueling a cholera outbreak, the first Lebanon has seen in three decades. Most Lebanese now rely on water trucked in by private suppliers, which is often not tested for safety.

  • High cost of living: Kasapreko to pay its employees twice as much their salary

    Kasapreko Company Ltd, an indigenous beverage manufacturer, has announced that all categories of workers will receive double pay in November 2022.

    The decision was informed by current economic uncertainties and price volatility in the country, which are affecting the well-being of staff, according to a memo from Kasapreko management to staff, contractors, and casual employees.

    “In addition to other measures taken to cushion staff and their families in the face of these challenges, management is announcing the payment of Double Salary to all permanent, contract and casual employees in November, 2022.

    “It is Management’s expectation that this payment would bring relief to all staff and their families as we all weather these challenges,” the memo signed by Managing Director, Richard Adjei, said.

    Kasapreko-double-salary
    The memo to staff has been trending on social media. Source: UGC. Source: UGC

    Kasapreko is a leading manufacturer of alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages in the country and a member of the prestigious Ghana Club 100 Company.

     

  • Akufo-Addo speaks on state of the economy tonight

    President Akufo-Addo will address Ghanaians on the current state of the economy tonight at 8PM.

    This comes after scores of Ghanaians called on the president and his economic management team to update the country on the way forward in restoring the dwindling economy.

    According to a pressure group, OccupyGhana, the country’s economic outlook is nothing to write home about.

    They believe that the country’s leadership is in limbo due to soaring inflation and the free fall of the local currency as the country faces a cost-of-living crisis.

    Thus, an update from the presidency on the state of the economy and the general affairs of the country could calm some nerves.

    In a press statement, the group said, “no one expects the President to physically halt the fall of the cedi or conjure inflation away. However, it is imperative in such times that Ghanaians get the reassurance that their elected leader is doing all he can and that he cares. The cedi is ‘burning’. The Ghanaian economy is in tatters. It is a disaster. Yet we do not see commanding leadership in this matter.”

    The country’s local currency is being battered by other foreign currencies while the annual inflation as of September 2022 has increased to 37.2%. A dollar is currently trading at about GH14.

    Also, fuel prices have escalated, and transport fares have been revised three times just this year.

    This increase in fuel prices and transport fares has translated into an increase in the prices of food goods and services.

    Some Ghanaians and lawmakers have urged President Akufo-Addo to dismiss Finance Minister Ken Ofori-Atta because of his poor performance in the midst of this economic crisis.

    The President is expected to further address the calls for the dismissal of Finance Minister Ken Ofori-Atta as well as the country’s engagement with the International Monetary Fund, on Sunday.

    Source: The Independent Ghana

     

  • Unemployment to increase, economic growth to slowdown – US based Assistant Professor

    US-based Ghanaian Assistant Professor of Economics, Dr. Dennis Nsafoah, is warning of a slowdown in the country’s economic growth and an anticipated increase in unemployment.

    This is a result of the recent 2.5% increase in the Bank of Ghana’s policy rate to 24.5%.

    According to him, the increase in the policy rate will push the cost of borrowing up and possibly drive down investment spending by many private businesses in the economy.

    Dr. Nsafoah who is with Niagara University told Joy Business an increase in the policy rate will be less beneficial especially when one expects aggregate supply to return to normal levels.

    “A 2.5% increase in the policy rate can be costly to households and businesses. It will increase the cost of borrowing and possibly drive down investment spending by many private businesses in the economy. For an economy which is currently facing several other challenges (including high inflation and currency depreciation), the increase in policy rate may slow economic growth and increase unemployment”.

    He, however, said the Bank of Ghana like many central banks around the world is facing the tradeoff between price stability and economic growth in the sense that, most economists generally agree that at least in the short run, a monetary policy decision which decreases inflation will also decrease economic growth.

    “For the Bank of Ghana, choosing between price stability and economic growth is not really a big conundrum. The primary objective of the Bank of Ghana is to maintain stability in the general level of prices, as stated under section 3 of the Bank of Ghana Act 2002, (Act 612)”, he added..

    Is increasing the policy rate the solution to a cost-push inflation? Dr. Nsafoah responded by saying both ‘Yes’ and ‘No’.

    He stressed that central banks do not respond to supply side shocks when they occur in the economy because they are often transitory and do not last. Therefore, an increase in the policy rate to deal with excess demand caused by a decrease in supply will be less beneficial especially when one expects aggregate supply to return to normal levels.

    However, he opined that when there are successive supply shocks which appear to have a permanent and lasting effect on the economy like “we have seen in the inflation data presented by the Ghana Statistical Service (GSS), then an increase in the policy rate is a solution. By increasing the policy rate, the Bank of Ghana can slow down aggregate demand to give aggregate supply time to catch up”.

    Furthermore, he said “we believe inflation in Ghana is gradually peaking. The Bank of Ghana in their previous monetary policy report estimated inflation to peak in the last quarter of 2022. The disinflation seen in the monthly inflation data is also a good indication that inflation is peaking. However, there are still significant risks to the inflation forecast especially from the pass-through of currency depreciation”.

    The policy rate cumulatively has increased by 10% year to date. The 2.5% increase is the largest aggregate policy rate increase in a calendar year since 1992.

    Source: MyJoyOnline

  • Government covering up economic crisis with propaganda- Sulemana Braimah

    The Executive Director of the Media Foundation for West Africa (MFWA), Sulemana Braimah, has alleged that the government’s report of the economy does not reflect what is actually happening on the ground.

    According to the MFWA boss, government has resorted to propaganda, thereby distorting the realities of matters and clouding the judgement of Ghanaians.

    “I think that we’re in a deep crisis even though for purposes of propaganda and PR, the government continues to say that we have is a challenge and not a crisis. But we’re certainly in a very very deep crisis and what is going on is at this stage, nothing but something that should be attributed to the poor governance, poor leadership [and] incompetence on the part of our leaders”, he said.

    He also blamed the government for the worsening situation in Ghana.

    Mr Sulemana Braimah’s comments come at a time the country is experiencing fiscal difficulties and a host of other economic challenges.

    The country’s inflation rate for September hit 37.2% as against the 33.9% recorded in August 2022.

    Meanwhile, Finance Minister, Ken Ofori-Atta is in talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to agree on mutual terms in a proposed IMF bailout request by Ghana.

    According to government, it is hopeful of a favourable agreement with the IMF, that will help put the country’s economy on a sound footing.