The average Ghanaian is currently indebted to the tune of GHC19,000 as the country’s debt stock deteriorates at an increasing rate.
Ghana’s debt has reached GHS 575.5 billion, which is equivalent to 71.9% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), according to the Bank of Ghana (BoG) as of the first half of 2023.
This represents an increase of GHS 27.7 billion compared to the GHS 547.8 billion debt recorded in January 2023, making it the highest level since January 2023.
The external portion of the debt, which was GHS 315.8 billion in January (equivalent to 39.4% of GDP), has risen to GHS 328.6 billion in June, constituting 41% of GDP.
Meanwhile, the domestic component, which stood at GHS 232.0 billion in January (29% of GDP), has increased to GHS 246.9 billion in June, accounting for 30.8% of GDP.
It’s noteworthy that Ghana’s debt is increasing while the government is implementing a three-year US$3 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) loan-support program aimed at ensuring the sustainability of the country’s debt.
“The recent increment in our debt stock is mainly as a result of the weak performance of the cedi against the dollar, Dr Daniel Anim Prempeh, Chief Economist, Policy Initiative for Economic Development (PIED), said.
“The high debt we’re incurring is because the cedi is not performing well, so, once you convert your debt to the prevailing dollar rate, you should expect increases in the value. Therefore, once the cedi depreciates, you expect the value of most of the dollar denominated debts to increase,” he explained.
The domestic debt decreased from GHS 247.9 billion in April 2023 to GHS 246.9 billion in June, primarily due to the implementation of the Domestic Debt Exchange Programme (DDEP), as pointed out by economists.
“We’re hoping that our external creditors will agree for the kind of restructuring that the Government wants to do, and if that’s done, there will be room for us to be able to sustain the high debt that we’re incurring,” Dr Anim-Prempeh said.
“The impact of the IMF first tranche will not be immediate. It’s until the end of the fiscal year when the analysis is done before we’ll be able to see any significant impact that it might have had within the domestic economy,” he said.
He urged the Government to reduce its appetite for both domestic and external debt to balance the credibility and investor confidence associated with the implementation of the IMF programme.
He added that: “Even if all the US$3bn is released, it will not bring about any immediate growth and stability within the macroeconomic environment, it will take a certain time to actually feel the impact.”
Dr Anim-Prempeh urged government to “focus on policies that will bring about macroeconomic stability by being fiscally disciplined as we enter into an election year in 2024.”