A recent survey conducted by SBM Intelligence forecasts that the National Democratic Congress (NDC) is likely to secure victories in 11 regions during the 2024 elections.
The survey indicates that the New Patriotic Party (NPP) may see a reduction in support within its traditional stronghold, the Ashanti Region, where their projected vote share is expected to drop.
The report, titled ‘Ghana’s 2024 Elections: A Preview,’ is accurate as of Thursday, September 12, 2024.
The NPP is anticipated to receive approximately 70.5% of the votes in Ashanti, a decrease from the 72.8% it achieved in the 2020 presidential election.
Additionally, the survey suggests that the NPP will encounter significant competition from the NDC in the Northern, Western North, and Oti regions.
“In the elections, the NDC is projected to secure victory in 11 regions, including all three swing regions, leaving only five regions for the NPP,” the September 2024 report showed.
More so, the NDC is expected to easily maintain three out of the five regions,, namely the the Upper East, Upper West, and and Savannah, and battle the NPP for the Northern region.”
“In the North East, Bawumia’s candidature is expected to help the NPP maintain its win and improve its vote share from 51.40% to 55.8%.”
The report comes with barely 80 days left for the December 7 election as political parties intensify campaigns to solicit for votes.
Meanwhile, over 20 presidential aspirants have successfully submitted their nomination forms to the Electoral Commission (EC) to contest the election.
SBM Intelligence is an Africa-focused geopolitical research and strategic communications consulting firm that addresses the critical need for political, social, economic, and market data and big data analytics.