According to a report on myjoyonline.com, both the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) and Fitch Solutions, two UK-based research firms, have predicted a win for former President John Dramani Mahama and the National Democratic Congress (NDC) in the upcoming 2024 General elections.
The EIU attributes the potential shift to factors such as declining living standards, limited job opportunities, and insufficient public services in Ghana.
Similarly, Fitch Solutions anticipates that the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) tenure is unlikely to continue, projecting that former President Mahama will secure victory in swing regions with a significant margin, obtaining nearly 48% compared to Vice President Bawumia’s projected 29%.
To support their forecasts, Fitch Solutions incorporated data from Global Info Analytics alongside their proprietary data.
The analysis places the NDC ahead of the NPP in key regions, including the Volta and Oti Regions, the three Northern Regions, and the Akan regions, suggesting a challenging scenario for the ruling NPP to retain power after the 2024 election.